Knowledge Maturity, AI Feasibility, AI Cost
I get to see #AI investments, and get asked if they are enough. Here's one sanity check: the lower the investment, the more structured knowledge you need about the problem that #AI will be solving. #AIeconomics pic.twitter.com/4mkqPxTyCt
— ivanjureta (@ivanjureta) January 26, 2018
Many people spent a lot of time, across centuries, trying to build good explanations, and trying to distinguish good from bad ones. While there is no consensus on what “explanation” is (always and everywhere), it is worth knowing what good explanations may have in common. It helps develop a taste in explanations, which is certainly helpful given how frequently you may need to explain something, and how often others offered explanations to you.
A “Requirements Loop” is an evidence-supported explanation of How observed events in an environment have led or are leading to the creation and persistence of those requirements, How to change the environment in order to satisfy the requirements in the future, and How to measure the change in the environment, in order to evaluate the…
The short answer: careers that reward creative problem solving in domains with scarce knowledge. Let’s unpack that.
Figures 1 and 2 show cost versus time; Figure 1 shows long iterations, Figure 2 short iterations. We choose to do something at time zero, at the origin of the graph in the Figure, and when we do so, we do it under some assumptions that we made at that time. Dashed red lines convey…